◎ Several proposals in the 2019 government work report seemingly cancel out each other or will contradict Xi’s push to have the “Party lead everything”
Read moreRisk Watch: Early Analysis of China’s Government Work Report
Two Sessions
Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis & Forecast on Extended Sino-US Trade Talks
◎ The CCP factional struggle will escalate as Xi tries to force through reforms to meet U.S. trade demands.
Read moreGeopolitics Watch: Early Analysis & Forecast on Extended Sino-US Trade Talks
The CCP Fourth Plenum and Geopolitics
◎ The plenary session after the Two Sessions in the year after a Party Congress typically focuses on the economy.
Politics Watch: Yang Jiechi’s South Africa Trip is a Diplomatic Puzzle
◎ Yang Jiechi would visit South Africa from March 23 to March 24.
Read morePolitics Watch: Yang Jiechi’s South Africa Trip is a Diplomatic Puzzle
Politics Watch: Decoding China’s Party and State Institutional Reforms
◎ On March 21, Chinese state media published the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) plan for reforming its Party and state institutions.
Read morePolitics Watch: Decoding China’s Party and State Institutional Reforms
Personnel Watch: What Does the Future Hold for Yang Jiechi?
◎ Yang Jiechi, a new Politburo member and former state councilor, was not assigned any state office at the Two Sessions.
Read morePersonnel Watch: What Does the Future Hold for Yang Jiechi?
Over 71% Accurate: Our Predictions for China’s New Vice Premiers, State Councilors, Ministers
◎ On March 19, the 13th National People’s Congress elected new vice premiers, state councilors, ministers, committee heads, and key central bank appointees.
Five Key Takeaways About Yang Xiaodu as National Supervision Commission Chief
◎ The appointment of Yang Xiaodu as National Supervision Commission director shocked many observers.
Read moreFive Key Takeaways About Yang Xiaodu as National Supervision Commission Chief
Full Marks: Our Predictions for China President, Vice President, NPC Chairman
◎ We correctly picked 12 of the 15 officials who were newly elected to the NPC leadership.
Read moreFull Marks: Our Predictions for China President, Vice President, NPC Chairman
How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
◎ To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments in recent CCP politics.
Read moreHow We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President