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RECOMMENDED

In Beijing, Xi and Trump agree to ‘constructive strategic stability’ in US-China relations

May 18, 2026

CCP propaganda has used the Trump trip to subtly weave the narrative of a U.S. “change of heart” and a PRC “victory” in major power competition.

Categories Geopolitics, POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Ma Xingrui’s downfall foreshadows deepening purge

April 6, 2026

There is no question that Xi is leading the current purges in the CCP, rather than being the subject of a purge.

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Why military units haven’t yet issued loyalty pledges after the Zhang Youxia probe

January 29, 2026

The PLA’s operations are likely to be inhibited to a degree if Beijing is subjecting it to an extensive “political physical exam.”

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Assessing the fallout of the probe of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli

January 27, 2026January 26, 2026

While the PLA’s leadership and organization are currently in disarray, it should not be discounted as a threat.

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

China Outlook 2026: Xi to Focus on Domestic Stability Amid External Volatility

December 31, 2025

Our China 2026 outlook contains 28 predictions covering eight categories.

Read moreChina Outlook 2026: Xi to Focus on Domestic Stability Amid External Volatility

Categories 2026 Track record, Geopolitics, POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Analyzing the purge of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and seven other senior military officers

October 20, 2025

Xi Jinping likely intends to strengthen his control over the PLA by purging the nine generals and others associated with them.

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Xi Begins Laying Groundwork to Take Fourth Term as CCP Head

September 24, 2025

CCP deploys an extensive propaganda campaign to prop up Xi’s leadership amidst economic and diplomatic troubles.


Read moreXi Begins Laying Groundwork to Take Fourth Term as CCP Head

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

Why Beijing’s Attempt to Force Pension Payments Could Backfire

August 16, 2025

By resorting to short-term fixes to China’s pension system and other economic woes, Xi Jinping and the CCP are sowing the seeds of larger crises.

Read moreWhy Beijing’s Attempt to Force Pension Payments Could Backfire

Categories RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP, SOCIAL WATCH

Power and Propaganda: Observable Indications About Whether Xi Has Lost Control

July 23, 2025

Despite purges of allies, Xi appears to remain in charge as Communist Party mouthpieces affirm his authority and ideological line.

Read morePower and Propaganda: Observable Indications About Whether Xi Has Lost Control

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP

What the Politburo’s New Regulation on Policy Coordination Say About Xi’s Power

July 2, 2025

This analysis is from the July 3, 2025 newsletter. 

Read moreWhat the Politburo’s New Regulation on Policy Coordination Say About Xi’s Power

Categories POLITICS, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP
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